Crypto.com and Novig sue Missouri over prediction market classification as gambling

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Summary

  • NADEX and Novig filed federal lawsuits against Missouri authorities on Oct. 16, challenging the state's classification of sports event contracts as gambling and arguing that CFTC registration grants federal preemption over state gambling laws.
  • Missouri Attorney General Catherine Hanaway demanded six companies stop offering sports event contracts to residents or obtain state gaming licenses and pay a 10% sports betting tax, with NADEX highlighting the impossibility of obtaining new licenses.
  • U.S. courts are split on federal vs. state regulatory authority for prediction markets, with the Sixth and Ninth Circuits ruling against Kalshi while the Third Circuit sided with them—these Missouri cases could establish a precedent that reshapes prediction market regulation nationwide.

Crypto.com’s North American Derivatives Exchange (NADEX) and sports prediction market firm Novig filed federal lawsuits on Oct. 16 against Missouri authorities. Both companies challenge Attorney General Catherine Hanaway’s classification of sports event contracts as gambling, arguing that their status as CFTC-registered exchanges means federal law preempts state gambling statutes. The outcome could reshape how prediction markets are regulated across the country.

Crypto.com’s North American Derivatives Exchange (NADEX) and sports prediction market firm Novig filed federal lawsuits on Oct. 16 against Missouri authorities, challenging the state’s classification of sports event contracts as gambling, BigGo Finance reported. The suits were filed in the Western and Eastern U.S. District Courts of Missouri, respectively.

The filings coincide with the expiration of 30-day deadlines set by cease-and-desist letters that Missouri Attorney General Catherine Hanaway sent on Sept. 16–17 to six companies: Crypto.com, Novig, Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood and Underdog.

What Missouri Demanded

Hanaway notified the companies that they must either stop offering sports event contracts to Missouri residents or obtain a license from the state gaming commission and pay a 10% sports betting tax. “Companies cannot evade Missouri law by dressing up sports betting as ‘event contracts, ” Hanaway said, according to BigGo Finance.

In Crypto.com’s case, Hanaway flagged the fact that users as young as 18 can trade on the platform. Missouri’s minimum legal age for sports betting is 21.

NADEX’s Federal Preemption Argument

NADEX argues that as an exchange registered with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), exclusive regulatory authority over event contracts rests with the CFTC under the Commodity Exchange Act. The company contends that federal law must take precedence over state gambling statutes.

NADEX asked the court for a declaratory judgment confirming that regulatory authority, along with a permanent injunction barring state enforcement. The company also cited the fact that Missouri’s two available mobile sports betting licenses have already been allocated, making it effectively impossible to obtain a new license.

Novig’s Filing

Novig filed suit through its exchange operator, Ludlow Exchange, in the Eastern U.S. District Court of Missouri. The company is seeking both a preliminary and permanent injunction.

Novig argued that because Kalshi’s Iowa case addressing the same issue is being heard by the Eighth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, it needs to maintain its current operations until a ruling is issued.

Circuit Court Split

U.S. courts have split over whether federal derivatives regulation or state gambling laws take precedence for sports event contracts, according to BigGo Finance. The Sixth and Ninth U.S. Circuit Courts of Appeals have ruled against Kalshi in related cases, while the Third U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals sided with Kalshi.

The new lawsuits represent an effort to reaffirm the principle of federal preemption amid this patchwork of rulings.

Four Companies Stayed Out

As of Oct. 18, Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood and Underdog had not filed suits in Missouri. BigGo Finance reported that Kalshi is reportedly in talks with the Missouri attorney general’s office.

Industry observers told the outlet that legal strategies are diverging among companies. Some are pursuing litigation, others are negotiating and still others are taking a wait-and-see approach.

Potential Ripple Effects

If Crypto.com and Novig prevail, the argument that federal regulation preempts state gambling laws would be strengthened. Companies that did not sue would have a precedent they could invoke in future disputes.

If they lose, other states would have greater justification to adopt similar regulations. Companies like Kalshi, Polymarket and Robinhood would face heightened regulatory uncertainty and potential compliance burdens.

We will continue to track these cases as they develop. The rulings could have significant implications for how prediction markets operate in the U.S. and whether state-level gambling frameworks apply to CFTC-registered exchanges.

Shahanshah Alam Author Avatar
Author: Shahanshah Alam
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Shahanshah’s path through iGaming spans more than ten years, and sports betting platforms have been a consistent thread throughout it. He’s evaluated sportsbooks across dozens of markets, comparing odds formats, market depth, live betting features, and payout reliability, always with the same question in mind: does this platform deliver for the player, or just for the marketing team? That question shapes everything he builds and reviews today.